Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Title A name given to the resource Faculty Publications Article Faculty Publications -Articles Dublin Core The Dublin Core metadata element set is common to all Omeka records, including items, files, and collections. For more information see, http://dublincore.org/documents/dces/. Creator An entity primarily responsible for making the resource Bal, Prasanta Kumar; Kumar, Divya Subash; Parihar, Ruchi Singh; Saini, Atul Title A name given to the resource Changing climate and its impacts on the dynamics of future malaria transmission over certain endemic regions in India Date A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource 01-01-2025 Source A related resource from which the described resource is derived Scientific Reports;Volume;15;Issue;1;Article No.;35412; Identifier An unambiguous reference to the resource within a given context <a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-07971-x" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-07971-x</a> <br /><br /><a href="https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105018398010?origin=resultslist" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105018398010?origin=resultslist</a> Coverage The spatial or temporal topic of the resource, the spatial applicability of the resource, or the jurisdiction under which the resource is relevant Bal P.K., Qatar Meteorology Department, Civil Aviation Authority, Doha, Qatar; Kumar D.S., Centre for Climate Change and Disaster Management, Anna University, Chennai, India; Parihar R.S., Department of Statistics and Data Science, CHRIST (Deemed to be University), Bangalore, India; Saini A., Department of Geography, Hemavati Nandan Bahuguna Garhwal University, Uttarakhand, Pauri Garhwal, India Description An account of the resource As climate change plays a major role in evaluating the malaria disease over India, it is highly relevant to assess the spatio-temporal variability of malaria transmission dynamics over different climatic zones in India using modelling studies. In this study, VECTRI (vector-borne disease community model of the International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste) model is simulated to predict the future malaria transmission dynamics over four major climatological zones of India, forced with the different climatic parameters such as temperature and rainfall and non-climatic parameter such as population density. The climate data is obtained from multi model mean of different CMIP6 global climate models under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. Results indicate that there is an overall decrease in EIR (Entomological Inoculation Rate) values of 10 to 30% are seen over most of the Indian regions with an increase in temperature about 4 to 5C and rainfall about 10 to 40%, by end of the century (2080s) when compared with the baseline period (19852014). However, few exceptions are seen over few parts of western and peninsular region where increase in EIR values are seen. This decrease (increase) in EIR values which describes the intensity of malaria transmission is predominantly controlled by temperature and rainfall during summer (winter) monsoon seasons. Such results from the VECTRI model may be useful for policymakers towards various malaria disease control programs in India and this may provide a basis for climate change impact assessments on malaria risk at a regional scale. The Author(s) 2025. Subject The topic of the resource Climate change; Global climate model; Malaria transmission; VECTRI Publisher An entity responsible for making the resource available Nature Research Relation A related resource ISSN: 20452322; Language A language of the resource English Type The nature or genre of the resource Article Rights Information about rights held in and over the resource All Open Access; Gold Open Access; Green Open Access Format The file format, physical medium, or dimensions of the resource online