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            <name>Title</name>
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                <text>Faculty Publications</text>
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    <name>Conference Paper</name>
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          <name>Creator</name>
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              <text>Shashidhar Yadav, J.; Kulkarni, Shrinivas; Rajath, B.S.; Pradeep Kumar, S.V.; Priyadarshini, N.; Devananda, H.M.</text>
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          <name>Title</name>
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              <text>Forecasting Market Turbulence: A Multi-model Study Using GARCH, Random Forest, and LSTM in the Indian Stock Market</text>
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          <name>Date</name>
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              <text>01-01-2026</text>
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          <name>Source</name>
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              <text>Communications in Computer and Information Science;Volume;2863 CCIS;pp.334-347</text>
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          <name>Identifier</name>
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              <text>&lt;a href="https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-032-17184-9_25" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"&gt;https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-032-17184-9_25&lt;/a&gt; &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href="https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105040391077?origin=resultslist" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"&gt;https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105040391077?origin=resultslist&lt;/a&gt;</text>
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              <text>Shashidhar Yadav J., School of Business and Management, Christ University, Karnataka, Bengaluru, India; Kulkarni S., School of Business and Management, Christ University, Karnataka, Bengaluru, India; Rajath B.S., School of Business and Management, Christ University, Karnataka, Bengaluru, India; Pradeep Kumar S.V., School of Business and Management, Christ University, Karnataka, Bengaluru, India; Priyadarshini N., Post Graduate Department of Business Administration, Seshadripuram College, Karnataka, Bengaluru, India; Devananda H.M., Department of Management, Adichunchanagiri Institute of Technology, Karnataka, Chikkamagaluru, India</text>
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              <text>The dynamic and unpredictable nature of the Indian stock market presents significant challenges in forecasting return behavior and managing financial risk. This study explores market turbulence through a comparative analysis of three distinct modeling approaches: the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, Random Forest, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. By analyzing historical return data from Indian Nifty indices, the research captures both linear dependencies and complex nonlinear patterns associated with market volatility. The results highlight the GARCH models strength in modeling conditional volatility, while the machine learning and deep learning techniquesRandom Forest and LSTMexhibit enhanced predictive power in capturing intricate fluctuations in stock returns. The findings suggest that integrating traditional econometric methods with data-driven approaches offers a more comprehensive and accurate understanding of market dynamics. This multi-model framework is valuable for investors, financial analysts, and policymakers aiming to anticipate and navigate periods of heightened market uncertainty.  The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2026.</text>
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              <text>GARCH; Indian stock market; Market volatility; Random forest; Return prediction</text>
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              <text>Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH</text>
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              <text>ISSN: 18650929; ISBN: 978-303217183-2;</text>
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              <text>English</text>
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              <text>Restricted Access; Hardcopy may be available in the library</text>
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