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Modelling Climate, COVID-19, and Reliability Data: A New Continuous Lifetime Model under Different Methods of Estimation
In this article, a new continuous probability distribution called Arvind distribution is developed and studied. The proposed distribution has only one parameter but it exhibits a wide variety of shapes for density and hazard rate functions. A number of important distributional properties including mode, quantile function, moments, skewness, kurtosis, mean deviation, probability-weighted moments, stress-strength reliability, order statistics, reliability and hazard rate functions, Bonferroni Lorenz and Zenga curves, conditional moments, mean residual and mean past life functions, and stochastic ordering of the Arvind distribution are derived. For point estimation of the parameter of the proposed distribution, six estimation procedures including maximum likelihood, maximum product spacings, least squares, weighted least squares, Cram-von Mises, and Anderson-Darling estimators are used. The interval estimation of the unknown parameter has also been discussed using observed Fishers information. A vast simulation study has been conducted to examine the behaviour of different estimation procedures. Finally, the applicability of the proposed model is demonstrated by using three real-life datasets. The results of the real data analysis clearly announce that the Arvind distribution can be a better alternative to several existing models for modelling different types of data from various fields. 2024, Society of Statistics, Computer and Applications. All rights reserved. -
Modelling Complex Psychological and Behavioral Dynamics: Analyzing Perception and Psychological Ownership in Gen Z's Re-subscription Intentions towards OTT Platforms
This study explores the complex dynamics between perception, psychological ownership, and re-subscription intentions among Gen Z users of OTT platforms, specifically examining how perceived benefits and perceived drawbacks shape user behavior and investigating the moderating role of psychological ownership in this context. The research focuses on a sample of Gen Z users from India who actively engage with OTT platforms, and data were collected through a structured questionnaire comprising three sections; a structural equation modeling (SEM) technique was applied to analyze the data obtained from 304 valid responses. The analysis reveals that perceived benefits significantly enhance Gen Z's resubscription intentions, while perceived drawbacks have a negative impact; moreover, the study highlights that psychological ownership moderates the influence of perceived drawbacks, mitigating their adverse effect on resubscription intentions. Although the study is limited to Gen Z users in India and focuses on a specific set of independent constructs, future research could expand this scope by incorporating other generational cohorts and a broader range of influencing factors to deepen the understanding of user behavior in diverse contexts. This research contributes to the broader literature on consumer behavior in the digital landscape by modeling the interaction between psychological and perceptual factors within a complex system, providing empirical evidence on the moderating role of psychological ownership and emphasizing the importance of these dynamics in designing effective engagement strategies for OTT platforms. Insights from this study underscore the significance of enhancing user perception factors to boost re-subscription rates, and industry practitioners are encouraged to focus on delivering personalized and memorable digital experiences to strengthen psychological ownership and minimize perceived drawbacks. The study also highlights practical strategies for OTT platforms, such as developing high-quality content, intuitive interfaces, and fostering a sense of community and ownership among users, with a focus on addressing perceived drawbacks and enhancing the social value of these platforms as crucial measures for retaining Gen Z users. As one of the first studies to employ complex systems modeling techniques to understand the interplay between perception factors and psychological ownership in influencing re-subscription intentions among Gen Z OTT users, the findings offer valuable insights for the online service industry to refine their service delivery and user engagement strategies. 2025, Binghamton University Libraries. All rights reserved. -
Modelling for working capital efficiency: integrating SBM-DEA and artificial neural networks in Indian manufacturing
Purpose: This study aims to present an innovative predictive methodology that transitions from traditional efficiency assessment techniques to a forward-looking strategy for evaluating working capital management(WCM) and its determinants by integrating data envelopment analysis (DEA) with artificial neural networks (ANN). Design/methodology/approach: A slack-based measure (SBM) within DEA was used to evaluate the WCME of 1,388 firms in the Indian manufacturing sector across nine industries over the period from April 2009 to March 2024. Subsequently, a fixed-effects model was used to determine the relationships between selected determinants and WCME. Moreover, the multi-layer perceptron method was applied to calculate the artificial neural network (ANN). Finally, sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the relative significance of key predictors on WCME. Findings: Manufacturing firms consistently operate at around 50% WCME throughout the study period. Furthermore, among the selected variables, ability to create internal resources, leverage, growth, total fixed assets and productivity are relatively significant vital predictors influencing WCME. Originality/value: The integration of SBM-DEA and ANN represents the primary contribution of this research, introducing a novel approach to efficiency assessment. Unlike traditional models, the SBM-DEA model offers unit invariance and monotonicity for slacks, allowing it to handle zero and negative data, which overcomes the limitations of previous DEA models. This innovation leads to more accurate efficiency scores, enabling robust analysis. Furthermore, applying neural networks provides predictive insights by identifying critical predictors for WCME, equipping firms to address WCM challenges proactively. 2024, Emerald Publishing Limited. -
Modelling for working capital efficiency: integrating SBM-DEA and artificial neural networks in Indian manufacturing
Purpose: This study aims to present an innovative predictive methodology that transitions from traditional efficiency assessment techniques to a forward-looking strategy for evaluating working capital management(WCM) and its determinants by integrating data envelopment analysis (DEA) with artificial neural networks (ANN). Design/methodology/approach: A slack-based measure (SBM) within DEA was used to evaluate the WCME of 1,388 firms in the Indian manufacturing sector across nine industries over the period from April 2009 to March 2024. Subsequently, a fixed-effects model was used to determine the relationships between selected determinants and WCME. Moreover, the multi-layer perceptron method was applied to calculate the artificial neural network (ANN). Finally, sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the relative significance of key predictors on WCME. Findings: Manufacturing firms consistently operate at around 50% WCME throughout the study period. Furthermore, among the selected variables, ability to create internal resources, leverage, growth, total fixed assets and productivity are relatively significant vital predictors influencing WCME. Originality/value: The integration of SBM-DEA and ANN represents the primary contribution of this research, introducing a novel approach to efficiency assessment. Unlike traditional models, the SBM-DEA model offers unit invariance and monotonicity for slacks, allowing it to handle zero and negative data, which overcomes the limitations of previous DEA models. This innovation leads to more accurate efficiency scores, enabling robust analysis. Furthermore, applying neural networks provides predictive insights by identifying critical predictors for WCME, equipping firms to address WCM challenges proactively. 2024, Emerald Publishing Limited. -
Modelling Networks withAttached Storage Using Perfect Italian Domination
Network-attached storage (NAS) is how data is stored and shared among hosts through a configured network. This is cheaper yet the best solution for sharing and using any huge unstructured data in an organization. Optimal distribution of NAS in a network of servers can be done using the concept of Perfect Italian Domination (PID). PID is a vertex labelling where the vertices of a graph G are labelled by 0, 1, 2 such that a vertex with label 0 should have a neighbourhood where the summation of the labels is exactly 2. The minimum possible sum of the labels obtained for graph G is its PID number. A network in an organization can have any structure. It can be highly interconnected, like a graph obtained from the Join of two graphs or the Corona product of two graphs. Hence, this paper discusses the PID of different graphs generated by the Join and the Corona products. The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2024. -
Modelling of Cointegration with Students T-errors
Two or more non-stationary time series are said to be co-integrated if a certain linear combination of them be-comes stationary. Identification of co-integrating relationships among the relevant time series helps the researchers to develop efficient forecasting methods. The classical approach of analyzing such series is to express the co-integrating time series in the form of error correction models with Gaussian errors. However, the modeling and analysis of cointegration in the presence of non-normal errors needs to be developed as most of the real time series in the field of finance and economics deviates from the assumption of normality. This paper focuses on modeling of a bivariate cointegration with a students-t distributed error. The co-integrating vector obtained from the error correction equation is estimated using the method of maximum likelihood. A unit root test of first order non stationary process with students t-errors is also defined. The resulting estimators are used to construct test procedures for testing the unit root and cointegration associated with two time series. The likelihood equations are all solved using numerical approaches because the estimating equations do not have an explicit solution. A simulation study is carried out to illustrate the finite sample properties of the model. The simulation experiments show that the estimates perform reasonably well. The applicability of the model is illustrated by analyzing the data on time series of Bombay stock exchange indices and crude oil prices and found that the proposed model is a good fit for the data sets. 2022 by authors, all rights reserved. -
Modelling of critical success factors for blockchain technology adoption readiness in the context of agri-food supply chain
The agri-food supply chain is continuously facing several challenges; the most severe are food quality and safety issues. These issues debilitate the performance of the supply chain and often harm the consumer's health. Therefore, there is an urgent need to address food quality and safety assurance in the supply chain. Blockchain technology (BCT) holds the potential to resolve these issues by enhancing security and transparency. The present study explores the critical success factors (CSFs) of BCT adoption readiness in the AFSC. Initially, CSFs are identified through a literature survey and finalised by experts' opinion. The finalised factors are prioritised using the fuzzy best-worst method, followed by sensitivity analysis. The results reflect that 'food quality control', 'provenance tracking and traceability', and 'partnership and trust' as the top three success factors. The study's findings will assist policymakers, managers, and practitioners in strategising the decision-making process while BCT dissemination. Copyright 2023 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd. -
Modelling temperature-dependent malaria transmission vector model considering different levels of immunity in host population
Malaria is spread by female Anopheles mosquitoes, which complete their life cycle by feeding on human blood. Parasites from the mosquito's saliva enter the human bloodstream through a mosquito bite. Thus, the link between humans and mosquitoes to parasites is established. According to WHO statistics, malaria appears widespread in tropical and subtropical locations around the equator, including most of Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America, and Asia. The most prevalent causes of malaria transmission might be amicable temperature, which aids in the growth of the mosquito life-cycle, and a failure to maintain the local socio-economic condition, which reduces individual immunity. This study proposes the vector-host model to understand the spread of malaria infection. A vector model is used to understand the effects of temperature on the development of egg, larval, pupal, and adult mosquito populations. Furthermore, the role of immunity is being explored using the host model. Numerical simulations support the influence of temperature on disease transmission. The study draws attention to the fact that, along with issues like global warming and climate change, managing the socio-economic conditions of the area (healthcare facilities, environmental improvement) is essential for malaria eradication. CSP - Cambridge, UK; I&S - Honda, USA, 2023 -
Modelling the energy dependent X-ray variability of Mrk 335
We present a technique which predicts the energy dependent fractional r.m.s. for linear correlated variations of a pair of spectral parameters and apply it to an XMM-Newton observation of Mrk 335. The broadband X-ray spectrum can be interpreted as a patchy absorber partially covering the primary emission, a warm and hot coronal emission or a relativistically blurred reflection along with the primary emission. The fractional r.m.s. has a non-monotonic behaviour with energy for segments of lengths 3 and 6 ksecs. For each spectral model, we consider every pair of spectral parameters and fit the predicted r.m.s. with the observed ones, to get the pair which provides the best fit. We find that a variation in at least two parameters is required for all spectral interpretations. For both time segments, variations in the covering fraction of the absorber and the primary power law index gives the best result for the partial covering model, while a variation in the normalization and spectral index of the warm component gives the best fit in the two corona interpretation. For the reflection model, the best fit parameters are different for the two time segment lengths, and the results suggests that more than two parameters are required to explain the data. This, combined with the extreme values of emissivity index and reflection fraction parameters obtained from the spectral analysis, indicates that the blurred reflection model might not be a suitable explanation for the Mrk 335 spectrum. We discuss the results as well as the potential of the technique to be applied to other data sets of different AGN. 2025 Elsevier B.V. -
Modelling the energy dependent X-ray variability of Mrk 335
We present a technique which predicts the energy dependent fractional r.m.s. for linear correlated variations of a pair of spectral parameters and apply it to an XMM-Newton observation of Mrk 335. The broadband X-ray spectrum can be interpreted as a patchy absorber partially covering the primary emission, a warm and hot coronal emission or a relativistically blurred reflection along with the primary emission. The fractional r.m.s. has a non-monotonic behaviour with energy for segments of lengths 3 and 6 ksecs. For each spectral model, we consider every pair of spectral parameters and fit the predicted r.m.s. with the observed ones, to get the pair which provides the best fit. We find that a variation in at least two parameters is required for all spectral interpretations. For both time segments, variations in the covering fraction of the absorber and the primary power law index gives the best result for the partial covering model, while a variation in the normalization and spectral index of the warm component gives the best fit in the two corona interpretation. For the reflection model, the best fit parameters are different for the two time segment lengths, and the results suggests that more than two parameters are required to explain the data. This, combined with the extreme values of emissivity index and reflection fraction parameters obtained from the spectral analysis, indicates that the blurred reflection model might not be a suitable explanation for the Mrk 335 spectrum. We discuss the results as well as the potential of the technique to be applied to other data sets of different AGN. 2025 Elsevier B.V. -
Modelling the nexus of macro-economic variables with WTI Crude Oil Price: A Machine Learning Approach
Crude oil price shocks have a significant impact on aggregate macroeconomic indices like GDP, interest rates, investment, inflation, unemployment, and currency rates, according to empirical evidence. Various factors like GDP, CPI, and Gold prices show a considerable impact on the Crude old prices. The correlation analysis between these variables can help the machine learning model to find the highly impacting factor of the target variable. The advanced machine learning algorithms can be used to find the most relevant variable impacting the crude oil price followed by predicting the crude oil price. Time series analysis algorithms can forecast the crude oil prices for the specific period ahead. In the current study it was observed that US dollar and CPI show a high impact on Crude oil prices. The study has implemented six machine learning algorithms out of which the ARIMAX was found to be the most efficient model. VAR and ARIMA models are used to successfully forecast the crude oil prices for the next 5 years. From the current research, a machine learning model has been obtained as an outcome of the study, which will help economists in the future to understand the dynamics of crude oil prices driver and forecast it for the near future. 2022 IEEE. -
Modelling the Path from Servitization Enablers to Customer Centricity in the Automotive Industry: An fsQCA and ANN Analysis
The current study utilizes the major servitization enablers, including value co-creation, service customization, technology integration and network orchestration, as the core factors influencing customer centricity in the Indian automotive service industry. As the industry has shifted to service-oriented value creation, it is necessary to assess those relationships through the lens of the automotive service providers. This study is grounded in the service-dominant logic (SDL), dynamic capabilities (DC) theory and product-service systems (PSS) approach and investigates the data obtained from 179 Indian automotive service providers. Fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) reveals multiple equifinal configurations that lead to high customer centricity, demonstrating that no single enabler is appropriate. These findings are further substantiated by artificial neural network (ANN) analysis, which reveals that value co-creation plays a vital role in service performance and is the most important enabler of customer centricity (normalized importance = 100%). This dual methodological approach strengthens the results. The research presented feasible observations to automotive service providers, emphasizing the significance of value co-creation, enhancement of co-creation and the creation of flexible service systems that enable customer-oriented decision-making. 2026 IMI -
Modelling the role of institutional support in shaping the social behaviour of business administration students
The relevance and scope of teaching social responsibility and ethical behaviour to business students has been widely discussed among academicians worldwide (Giacalone & Thompson, 2006). Presently all business schools emphasize teaching social responsibility to the students. But the effectiveness of this education on the student's social responsibility was not evaluated in the past. This study tries to fill this gap by conducting an empirical study on the effectiveness of social responsibility projects undertaken by undergraduate business students for their overall development. The study hypothesized that the course support and institutional support would influence the student's perception of social responsibility, which in turn affects the student's academic performance. For this purpose, the study was conducted among 450 students who have undergone a social responsibility course. The path analysis method was used to test the hypothesized model. Further, the study also evaluated the moderation effect of gender on this model. The study's major finding indicated that the social responsibility course and the organizational support positively impacted students' social responsibility perceptions, which, in turn, influenced students' academic performance. The study suggests that business institutions should emphasize social responsibility initiatives. 2024 Nova Science Publishers, Inc. -
Modelling, Temperature Analysis, and Mechanical Properties of Friction Stir Welding of Al-Cu Joints with Hardened OHNS Steel Tools
Friction stir welding (FSW) is a nearly modern welding method with vital advantages over the conventional welding process, such as lower distortion, enhanced mechanical properties, and eco-friendly. In FSW, the joint characteristics mainly depend on heat development during the joining process due to its solid-state joining method. The basic principles of thermomechanical methods during FSW are unknown since it is a new metal joining method. In this investigation, the 2D and 3D models of the tools with different pin forms were designed using SOLIDWORKS. The ANSYS software was used to investigate the temperature distributions near the weld zones. The fixture was designed and made according to the machine conditions. The base plates used were AA6101 and C11000; the tool material used was the Hardened OHNS steel tool with square and circular pin form. The temperature values were measured in each trial while joining of Al-Cu base plates along the weld line. The results reveal that in the joint area, a trial with high temperature leads to high ultimate tensile strength (UTS) and Charpy impact strength (CIS). Made at tool rotation speed 1200 rpm and feed velocity 20 mm/min of Hardened OHNS steel tool with circular pin form. The obtained UTS value at joints was less than that of Al and Cu base plates. The microhardness value detected at the joint area was higher than the Al and Cu base plates, providing high strength, and irregularly dispersed. 2022, Books and Journals Private Ltd.. All rights reserved. -
Models for analyzing the impact of leadership and followership values on organizational outcomes
Followers have been the center of organizational focus in modern structure. The activation of followership could be a sign of successful leadership. Leaders must begin to understand the types of people they lead. Team members identify themselves as a unit and practically plan organizational development and progress to achieve similar strategies and objectives. The development of a leadermember exchange is based on characteristics of the working relationship as opposed to a personal or friendship relationship. Leaders create unity through demonstration of group-mindedness by making more references to the collective history, the collective identity and interests, and collective efficacy. The more leaders augment follower identification (through role modeling or group socialization), the more followers will likely experience higher feelings of ownership and responsibility. This paper is intended to characterize the types of followers that might exist in organizations and establish an integration of followers classification. 2026 selection and editorial matter, Mukesh Kumar Awasthi, Ashwani Kumar, Manoj Gupta; individual chapters, the contributors. -
Models for load forecasting and demand response
Increasing pressure on the utilities to accommodate energy efficiency, load management and progress in advanced technology has led to transformations of existing grids into smarter grids. With the development of Smart Grid Technology and the integration of smart meters it is possible to control the equipment installed at the consumer site. Creating awareness among the end- users to participate in load management programs instead of capacity addition is the best solution for maintaining the stability in the grid. Utilities can also encourage consumer participation in load control activities. They can ensure that power is given to a consumer during his priority time. For this, loads have to be categorized, prioritized and then considered for load shedding so that revenue loss and social impacts of load shedding are minimized. It would be beneficial if a consumer's load is not completely shed during load shedding. Amount of power that is shed from a consumer can be limited and consumers can be allowed to adjust their loads based on the availability of power and get incentives from the utilities for their change in load pattern. Consumers are also benefited with the reduced energy charges on the consumed energy during these periods. Review of the recent research work shows that demand response and load forecasting play an important role to relieve the power system from economic and environmental constraints. Various approaches have been used in the past for developing different demand response and forecasting methodologies including neural networks, fuzzy logic and statistical techniques. These methodologies fluctuate in complication, suppleness, and information necessity. In addition, statistical methods such as time series, regression, and state space methods have large numerical deviation in the predicted load series. In general, for accurate modeling of nonlinear and undecided type of load behavior, artificial intelligence-based techniques are employed. Also, these methods concentrate mainly on ordinary system conditions. However, proposing the possible Demand Response strategies to maintain power system security constraints in unpredicted turbulences pose a serious challenge. In the undertaken research, a novel load forecasting method using hybrid Genetic Algorithm Support Vector Regression model has been proposed. The forecast error is around 1-2%. The second part of the work focuses on formulation of demand response strategies based on time of the day and load prioritization. A Unique grading method has been proposed to prioritize the loads and load management during power deficiency by controlling the loads individually using different optimization techniques. The performance of three well recognized population based meta-heuristic algorithms such as Genetic Algorithm, Ant Colony Optimization and Particle Swarm Optimization, to solve load management at the consumer level in the Smart Grid environment were examined in terms of their efficiency, effectiveness and consistency in obtaining the optimal solution. In the last part of the work the Demand Response model for residential load is proposed to minimize the energy cost of the electricity usage by shifting the loads from peak period to off-peak period with the help of intelligent techniques such as Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm. -
Models for load forecasting and demand response /
Increasing pressure on the utilities to accommodate energy efficiency, load management and progress in advanced technology has led to transformations of existing grids into smarter grids. With the development of Smart Grid Technology and the integration of smart meters it is possible to control the equipment installed at the consumer site. Creating awareness among the end users to participate in load management programs instead of capacity addition is the best solution for maintaining the stability in the grid. Utilities can also encourage consumer participation in load control activities. They can ensure that power is given to a consumer during his priority time. For this, loads have to be categorized, prioritized and then considered for load shedding so that revenue loss and social impacts of load shedding are minimized. It would be beneficial if a consumer's load is not completely shed during load shedding. Amount of power that is shed from a consumer can be limited and consumers can be allowed to adjust their loads based on the availability of power and get incentives from the utilities for their change in load pattern. Consumers are also benefited with the reduced energy charges on the consumed energy during these periods. -
Models for Social Responsibility Action by Higher Education Institutions
This book offers 18 chapters on replicable models for social responsibility actions for universities and other academic institutions. The chapters are broadly classified under two major areas: sustainable development models and social sensitisation programmes. The chapters capture the efficient and successful models of social responsibility practiced by Indian and foreign universities. The models are proposed based on the evidence from a rigorous research process. Universities across the world can benefit from the best practices and implement the same successfully. The models will be helpful to universities in achieving the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and rank higher on the Sustainability Tracking, Assessment & Rating System (STARS). The research-based chapters will have significant benefits to researchers in expanding the domain of social responsibility of higher education institutions. As a text, this book will serve students of higher education in sustainability and social responsibility related courses. 2024 by Nova Science Publishers, Inc. All rights reserved. -
Models of cuber security and data privacy analysis for Indian consumer's e-commerce decision making /
Patent Number: 202211043969, Applicant: Priyanka Kaushik.
Even though it is clear that e-commerce meets the requirements of customers, businesses and the clients they serve continue to be susceptible to cyberattacks, which may already be in progress against them. In this study, a comprehension of the antecedent elements that generate concerns among Indian consumers while using ecommerce websites is presented. It seeks to quantify the perceived hazards and data privacy issues that influence an individual's approach to making a risk-informed purchasing decision. The sake of this investigation, a quantitative method of approach has been used. -
Moderating effect of social media usage on technology barriers to technology adoption by teachers
The education and learning process is redefined with the mesmerizing impact of ever-volatile technology platforms. With the advent of the Industry 4.0, supported by the intelligent web 3.0 connectivity catalyzed the transformation of traditional education philosophies and pedagogies in tune with the Learning 4.0, to empower both learners and educators as co-producers of knowledge. The researches brought to light that social application platforms became an indispensable part of the digital learning process. The bio-inspired technology designs considerably cast off the issues related to ease of use, perceived usefulness, and reduced the perceived internal barriers of the teachers to improve their Technology Adoption substantially. This Technology Adoption research was conducted under the theoretical framework of the education change model of Michael Fullan integrated with educators Communities of Practice. This descriptive research study framed to address how the teachers Technology Adoption was affected by their use of social media platforms and how it moderated their perceived Technology Barriers. Standardized questionnaires from Joe W. Kotrlik and Donna H. Redmann were adopted with a pilot study. Stratified cluster sampling was used to gather 1029 responses from Higher Secondary School teachers of six educational districts in Kerala. The analysis was done with IBM SPSS v.21 and Process v.3.4. Teachers Social Media Use and Perceived Technology Barriers were significantly correlated with the Technology Adoption of the teachers. The perceived Technology Barriers were reduced with respect to their Social Media Usage. The relation of perceived Technology Barriers with Technology Adoption was significantly moderated with Social Media Use. Gender and school sectors were neither mediated nor moderated Technology Adoption. These results are helpful in the teachers technology training programs and for further research. 2019 SERSC.